The impact of macroeconomic factors on the analysis and forecast of the company's cash flows in Russia market
Keywords:
cash flow, growth rate, inflation, regression analysis, macroeconomic factorsAbstract
This study discusses prediction of the future cash flows of company using knowledge about macroeconomic and microeconomic factors and showing the importance of such factors. In order to achieve this goal, the following tasks were set in the work: 1. to understand concept of cash flows and the macroeconomic factors that can influence them. 2. To form, using a practical example, the forecast of the organization of cash flows of an enterprise, using methods of forecasting cash flows on the basis of the company's balance sheet and income statement for 2014-2021. 3. Make a conclusion on results of analysis and justify the importance of chosen factors Scientific and methodological basis of research served the work of Russian and foreign scientists and specialists in financial management and financial forecasting. The information base of the conducted research was the data of the Russian and world fuel and energy statistics, materials of the global Internet; data of Rosneft oil company and different articles and handbooks. The work consists of 3 parts. The first part is devoted to the theoretical aspects of methods for predicting the cash flows of the enterprise. The second part shows the application of the identified methods on the example of the oil and gas company “Rosneft”. The 3rd part summarizes the results of analysis of “Rosneft
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