تقييم أستدامة الدين العام في العراق ... تحليل تجريبي

Authors

  • م. د. حلمي إبراهيم منشــد جامعة ميسان، كلية الإدارة والاقتصاد، قسم الاقتصاد

Abstract

عرضت هذه الورقة الإطار النظري لاستدامة الدين العام، واستهدفت تقييمها في العراق خلال السنوات (2018-2004) باستخدام ثلاث منهجيات تمثلت باختبارات الاستقرارية واختبارات تناظر التكامل وتقدير واختبار دالة رد الفعل المالي. وكانت النتائج النهائية المستخلصة من الاختبارات جميعها تتفق على عدم تحقق استدامة الدين العام في العراق وعدم استجابة السياسة المالية للتغيرات التي تحصل في رصيد الدين العام. 

 

Abstract

            This paper presented the Theoretical Framework for the Sustainability of Public Debt, and aimed to assess it in Iraq during the years (2004-2018) using three Approaches represented by Stationary tests, Cointegration tests, and Estimating the Fiscal Reaction Function. The final results drawn from all the tests agreed that the Sustainability of Public Debt in Iraq was not achieved, and the Fiscal Policy did not respond to the changes that take place in the Stock of Public Debt.  

 

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References

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Published

2021-09-01

How to Cite

م. د. حلمي إبراهيم منشــد. (2021). تقييم أستدامة الدين العام في العراق . تحليل تجريبي. Al Kut Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 13(41), 85–118. Retrieved from https://kjeas.uowasit.edu.iq/index.php/kjeas/article/view/328